The number-crunching experts at TeamRankings are back with t
The number-crunching experts at TeamRankings are back with t
vallie.klein Sun, 08/14/2022 - 22:43
The number-crunching experts at TeamRankings are back with their analytical approach to fantasy football rankings and player stat projections for 2021.Allrankings and projections for theseason are available for free in the . Consider them a must-read before finalizing your rankings, auction values, sleeper lists, and draft cheat sheets.TeamRankings also provides , , and for the 2021 season. For a limited time, you can even get a free trial through NFL Week 1. Just click the link below to sign up.FREE:TeamRankings' fantasy football rankings are grounded in objective data. We start with betting market expectations for wins by each team this season. Then, we use team stats and other situational variables (e.g. new coaches, new quarterbacks, ages, etc.) to find similar historical teams that can serve as a baseline for predicting future performance.We have also developed models that analyze similar players by age, stats, and other factors, and we examine how teams historically have distributed touches among position players. You can read a Sammie Coates Jersey full explanation of what went into creating these .Last season was the first year we put these models to work, and the results were positive. When our rankings differed from the ADP of the top 10 QB/TEs or top 20 RB/WRs by three or more slots, our rank was closer to the actual player finish 64 percent of the time. We were ahead of the market on notable breakouts, such as Josh Allen, Calvin Ridley, DK Metcalf, and T.J. Hockenson. We were also bearish on some big-name players, like Odell Beckham Jr., Todd Gurley, and Drew Brees, all of whom disappointed.DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT:Below, we've listed the top 10 quarterbacks and tight ends and top 20 running backs and wide receivers in our 2021 fantasy rankings for standard scoring. Check out our for the complete list of players and more scoring formats, such as PPR and half-PPR.NOTE: The projections and rankings below were generated on Aug. 16, 2021 and are subject to change based on breaking news, injuries, etc. Our latest numbers will always be available on the .2021 FANTASY SLEEPERS: | | | | | 2021 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: QBThese projections are for four-point pa sing TD leagues. Our don't contain a lot of surprises. Patrick Mahomes tops Tyreek Hill Jersey the list, followed by Josh Allen. After that, Kyler Murray and Lamar Jackson again rank highly as dual-threat options.The one newcomer here is Jalen Hurts, who is ninth in our rankings despite being just outside the top 10 in . Hurts has ma sive rushing upside in the same vein as Jackson and Murray.After taking over at quarterback for Carson Wentz last year, Hurts averaged 11.5 rushing attempts and 68 rushing yards per game in four starts. If he can hold onto the Eagles' starting role this year, he has top-five upside Larry Johnson Jersey due to his rushing projection.RankPlayerPa s YardsPa s TDsINTsRushesRush YardsRush TDsFan. Pts1Patrick Mahomes507739.510.1552832.6384.82Josh Allen470132.112.11024596.7380.03Kyler Murray424427.012.71096266.7355.24Lamar Jackson319825.88.91519606.0345.35Ru sell Wilson445635.111.9724011.5345.16Dak Prescott475930.212.9502063.4330.57Justin Herbert461430.911.5522473.0327.98Aaron Rodgers435934.09.1381431.7316.79Jalen Hurts360221.611.61307045.7313.810Tom Brady463034.412.82771.6307.52021 Fantasy Football Stat Projections: RBInjuries caused Christian McCaffrey to mi s most of the 2020 season, but he is still our top projected running back. Dalvin Cook, Derrick Henry, and Alvin Kamara round out our top four.Its important to pay attention to your scoring settings when drafting running backs. In 2021, the optimal choice among the second group of running backs is dictated by league format.Austin Ekeler is 11th in our because of his projected number of catches, but he drops to 19th in standard scoring Derrick Nnadi Jersey . DAndre Swift and Clyde Edwards-Helaire also rank higher in PPR formats than they do in standard scoring.Meanwhile, backs like Josh Jacobs and JK Dobbins rank much higher in non-PPR scoring but fall toward the bottom of our top 20 in PPR leagues. Average draft position results show that most fantasy owners dont adjust enough for the PPR aspect, as those five backs rank similarly acro s all scoring formats.The one back outside the top 20 in ADP who appears in our rankings is Darrell Henderson Jr. of the Rams. Cam Akers was being drafted around the top 12 before he suffered a season-ending Achilles' injury in July, and it doesnt appear as though the public has fully accounted for Hendersons role and opportunity now.Akers was highly valued coming off his strong performance in last year's NFL playoffs, but Henderson had more total yards and touchdowns than Akers in the regular season. He has a three-down skillset and should serve as the lead back for a top offense with plenty of goal-line opportunities. (Update: Henderson's recent hand injury and L.A.'s late-August trade for Sony Michel clouds Henderson's outlook a bit, but he still figures to be the lead back and get the bulk of the touches, which keeps us bullish on his potential.)RankPlayerAttemptsRush YardsRec.Rec. YardsTotal TDsFan. Points1Christian McCaffrey26011208564615.3269.22Dalvin Cook28613775042614.1264.93Derrick Henry32414972115714.2251.24Alvin Kamara2059577465412.8238.75Nick Chubb26612952820112.4224.06Jonathan Taylor25912843224611.5222.17Saquon Barkley24810845138010.4208.78Aaron Jones2039736047210.3206.39Joe Mixon25310674735110.5204.810Ezekiel Elliott2489855539410.3199.811Antonio Gibson2219514536410.1192.112JK Dobbins*2211054242059.7184.113Josh Jacobs2651101201579.6183.414Najee Harris215999332409.2181.015Darrell Henderson Jr.2078973027210.6180.516David Montgomery2421033261989.1178.217Miles Sanders215938332858.9175.718D'Andre Swift200911483697.8174.819Austin Ekeler163681725737.7171.620Clyde Edwards-Helaire189826463608.7170.8*Updates put together before Dobbins' season-ending knee injury.These projections are for standard, non-PPR leagues. For PPR projections, . More From TeamRankings:||2021Fantasy Football Stat Projections: WRThe top three receivers in our rankings are all first-round options, particularly in PPR formats.Tyreek Hill had a career-high 15 touchdowns last year and plays for the NFL's top pa sing offense in Kansas City. Stefon Diggs led the league in both receptions and yards last season. Davante Adams led the NFL in receiving touchdowns in 2020 Mecole Hardman Jersey (18) and is the clear top option for Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay.Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp are both outside the top 12 wideouts in ADP, but they're inside that range in our rankings. Although they both had over 90 receptio
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